House prices begin to fall at a slower rate
House price declines are gradually easing as sales volumes increase across the UK. In October 2023, prices dropped by -1.4%, slowing to -0.8% by December.
The East of England (-2.5%) and the South West of England (-2.2%) experienced the most significant declines in 2023. In contrast, house prices in Northern Ireland increased by 3.2%. Despite this, higher mortgage rates are expected to persist, influencing house prices throughout 2024.
Data indicates that sellers are consistently reducing asking prices to attract buyer attention. More than 20% of sellers are now agreeing to discounts exceeding 10% of the initial asking price, and this figure rises to 25% in London and the South East of England.
Prices have stalled for various reasons, including:
tax alterations restricted property acquisition by investors and international buyers
the Brexit vote impacted job growth • the pandemic closed cities which altered work patterns
elevated mortgage rates disproportionately affected pricier housing markets.
It is unlikely that mortgage rates will fall significantly in the near future, staying within the 4% to 5% range.
Interestingly, Nationwide’s January index found that the average house price had increased by 0.7% during the month, a significant turnaround from the December figures.
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